Your 40s Determine Your 70s: The Decade That Decides Everything
Your 40s aren't the beginning of the end — they're the most important decade for determining the quality of your life at 70 and beyond. Dr. Justin Dearing breaks down why the signals your body is sending right now matter more than you think, and what most doctors are missing. If you've been told you're "fine" but don't feel fine, this is worth your next 10 minutes.

Your 40s Determine Your 70s
The Decade That Decides Everything
Key Points:
- Your 40s are a true inflection point. The health decisions made between 38 and 50 compound over the next 30–40 years, determining whether you're thriving and independent at 75 or declining at 65.
- "Normal" lab results aren't the same as optimal function. Standard medical ranges are built to detect disease, not measure peak performance. Feeling off despite "normal" results is a real and valid signal worth investigating.
- Decline follows a predictable hierarchy. It starts with breathing dysfunction, moves to nervous system stress, then metabolic slowdown, structural breakdown, and finally cognitive decline — often years before symptoms become obvious.
- The hierarchy matters for intervention. Trying to "just exercise more" when your body is already in protection mode often backfires. Restoring systems in the right order is what actually works.
- There are 6 metrics that predict your functional future. BOLT score, dead hang time, single-leg balance, resting breathing rate, core coordination, and waist-to-height ratio can be self-tested at home in about 10 minutes and reveal more than most standard panels.
- The window to act is widest right now. The capacity to rebuild and recover doesn't disappear overnight, but it does gradually narrow. The 40s represent the highest-leverage window for intervention.
I'm 41.
Over the last few years, I've noticed things changing. Recovery isn't automatic anymore. Sleep quality matters more than it used to. Injuries that would have healed in days now linger for weeks. The margin for error is shrinking.
I used to be able to outwork bad habits. Now the math doesn't work that way.
If you're somewhere between 38 and 50, you've probably noticed something similar. Maybe it's the afternoon energy crashes that coffee can't fix. Maybe it's the brain fog that shows up uninvited. Maybe it's the creeping awareness that your body doesn't bounce back the way it once did.
Here's what I want you to understand: this isn't failure. This isn't 'getting old.' This is your body sending you a message.
The question is whether you're listening.
The Inflection Point No One Talks About
After 17 years of clinical practice and working with over a thousand patients, I've observed a pattern that rarely gets discussed in mainstream health conversations.
Your 40s are an inflection point.
What you measure, address, and protect during this decade determines whether you're independent and thriving at 75 — or dependent and declining at 65.
That's not a metaphor. That's not motivational speaker talk. That's the clinical reality I see play out, patient after patient, year after year.
The people who show up in my clinic at 58 with 'sudden' cognitive decline? The dysfunction started in their early 40s. We can see it in their history. The warning signs were there — they just weren't being measured.
The 67-year-old who can't recover from a simple surgery? Their metabolic capacity was eroding for two decades before that moment. By the time it became a crisis, the foundation was already gone.
And the 72-year-old who's still hiking, traveling, and mentally sharp? They didn't get lucky. They made different decisions in their 40s. They paid attention to the signals. They addressed dysfunction before it became disease.
The difference between these outcomes isn't genetics. It isn't luck. It's timing.
Why Your Doctor Says You're 'Fine' (But You Don't Feel Fine)
Here's something that frustrates my patients — and honestly, frustrates me too.
You go to your doctor. You explain that you're exhausted, foggy, not recovering well. You feel like something is off. They run labs. Everything comes back 'normal.'
So you're told you're fine. Maybe it's stress. Maybe it's age. Maybe you should exercise more or sleep better.
But you KNOW something isn't right.
Here's what's actually happening: standard lab ranges are designed to detect disease, not measure optimal function. The reference ranges are built from population averages — which means they're built from a population that's largely sedentary, stressed, and metabolically compromised.
'Normal' doesn't mean optimal. It means you haven't crossed into diagnosable disease yet.
Your TSH might be 3.5 — technically within range. But optimal is closer to 1.5. That's a massive difference in how your metabolism actually performs, how you feel day to day, how your brain functions.
Your fasting glucose might be 98 — just under the diabetes threshold. But that number tells you nothing about your insulin response, your metabolic flexibility, or your cells' ability to produce energy efficiently.
The standard model waits for disease, then manages it.
What we do is different. We measure function. We identify dysfunction before it becomes disease. And we restore the systems responsible for energy, cognition, and resilience — in the order your body actually needs.
The Hierarchy of Decline
Here's something I've learned from years of clinical observation that you won't find in textbooks:
Decline follows a sequence.
It's not random. It's not 'everything falls apart at once.' There's a hierarchy, and it's predictable.
Breathing breaks down first.
Most people over 40 are chronically hyperventilating without knowing it. Breathing rates above 12-14 breaths per minute. Mouth breathing. Upper chest dominance. Poor CO2 tolerance.
This matters because breathing is the access point to your autonomic nervous system. When breathing is dysfunctional, your nervous system stays locked in a stress response. Sympathetic dominance. Fight-or-flight that never turns off.
Then the nervous system loses its flexibility.
When you're stuck in sympathetic overdrive, your body can't shift into repair mode. Recovery suffers. Sleep quality drops. HRV decreases. Inflammation rises because the systems designed to resolve it never get activated.
Then metabolism downregulates.
Your mitochondria — the energy-producing structures in every cell — start conserving rather than producing. This isn't dysfunction. It's protection. Your cells are responding to the stress signals by pulling back, prioritizing survival over performance.
This is when you start feeling it. The fatigue that sleep doesn't fix. The mental fog that coffee can't cut through. The sense that your body is operating at 60% capacity.
Then structure starts to fail.
Balance declines. Grip strength weakens. Core coordination breaks down. These aren't just fitness metrics — they're neurological indicators. They tell us how well your brain is communicating with your body.
Then cognition suffers.
By the time you're experiencing brain fog, memory issues, or difficulty concentrating, the upstream systems have been compromised for years. Sometimes decades.
This is why 'just exercise more' doesn't work for most people in their 40s and 50s. They're trying to add load to systems that are already in protection mode. The nervous system can't handle it. The metabolism can't support it. They push harder and feel worse.
The answer isn't more effort. It's restoring the sequence.
What We Actually Measure (That No One Else Does)
At The Dearing Clinic, our operating philosophy is simple: you can't fix what you don't measure.
We don't guess based on symptoms. We don't prescribe based on population averages. We measure what's actually happening in YOUR body, then address dysfunction in the order it needs to be addressed.
Oxygen utilization. Through PNOE metabolic breath analysis, we measure how efficiently your cells use oxygen to produce energy. This tells us whether your mitochondria are performing or protecting. It tells us your actual metabolic thresholds — not estimates based on age and heart rate, but real data from your body.
Most people are shocked to discover their oxygen utilization is functioning like someone 15-20 years older. That's not a death sentence. That's information. And it's reversible.
- Autonomic function. Through HRV analysis and other assessments, we measure how well your nervous system shifts between states. Can you activate when needed and recover when possible? Or are you stuck in one mode
- Brain network coordination. Through qEEG brain mapping, we can see how your neural networks are communicating. Are the right areas activating at the right times? Is there coordination or chaos?
- Structural and neurological integration. Grip strength. Balance. Core coordination. These simple tests tell us more about your functional age than most lab panels.
- Microbiome function. Through comprehensive stool analysis, we assess not just what organisms are present, but how your gut ecosystem is functioning. The gut-brain-immune axis isn't theory — it's measurable.
When we look at all of this together — the breathing, the nervous system, the metabolism, the brain, the gut, the structure — patterns emerge. We can see exactly where the breakdown is occurring and address it systematically.
The 6 Metrics That Predict Your Future
You don't need a clinic visit to get started. You don't need expensive equipment or complex testing.
There are 6 simple metrics you can test yourself, at home, in about 10 minutes. Together, they predict your functional trajectory more accurately than most standard medical assessments.
- BOLT Score — How long can you hold your breath after a normal exhale before feeling the first urge to breathe? This measures CO2 tolerance, breathing efficiency, and metabolic flexibility.
- Dead Hang Time — How long can you hang from a bar with feet off the ground? Grip strength is the single strongest predictor of all-cause mortality in the research literature.
- Single-Leg Balance — How long can you stand on one leg, eyes open, without touching down? This measures proprioception, vestibular function, and neurological coordination.
- Resting Breathing Rate — How many breaths do you take per minute at rest? This reveals your autonomic state and stress physiology.
- Core Coordination — Can you coordinate your diaphragm, pelvic floor, and rib position through a breath cycle? This measures structural integration.
- Waist-to-Height Ratio — Simple measurement that predicts metabolic disease risk better than BMI.
Each test scores 0-5 points. Total score ranges from 0-30.
Why I Built This
I'm not writing this as a detached expert. I'm writing this as someone living through the same decade you are.
At 41, I test myself regularly. Not because I'm anxious about aging, but because I've seen what happens when people don't pay attention to the signals. I've sat across from too many patients who wish they'd started measuring earlier.
The patterns are so clear from my side of the desk. The 45-year-old executive with 'unexplained' fatigue whose breathing rate is 18 per minute and BOLT score is 12 seconds. The 52-year-old who 'suddenly' can't think clearly, but whose brain mapping shows years of accumulated dysregulation. The 60-year-old preparing for surgery who can't hang from a bar for 10 seconds.
None of this is sudden. It's just suddenly visible.
My goal isn't to scare you. It's to give you the same insight I have — the ability to see dysfunction before it becomes disease, to measure what matters, and to address it while the window is still open.
Because here's the truth: the window does close.
Not all at once. Not dramatically. But gradually, the capacity to rebuild diminishes. The resilience to recover shrinks. The margin for intervention narrows. Your 40s are when that window is widest. The choices you make now compound over the next 30-40 years.
What You Can Do Today
You have two options.
Option 1: Test yourself.
Download our free testing guide. It walks you through all 6 metrics with complete instructions. You can do them at home with minimal equipment in about 10 minutes.
Know your score. Identify your weakest link. Start addressing it with the daily protocol included in the guide.
This costs nothing except your attention.
Option 2: Get comprehensive testing.
If your score is concerning, if you've tried self-directed approaches without success, or if you simply want to know exactly what's happening in your body — we offer complete diagnostic workups.
PNOE metabolic testing. qEEG brain mapping. HRV analysis. Microbiome assessment. The full picture. From there, we build a restoration protocol matched to YOUR data.
The Decade That Decides
Your 40s determine your 70s.
This isn't about anti-aging. You can't stop time, and anyone selling that is lying to you.
This isn't about biohacking. The answer isn't more gadgets, more supplements, more complexity.
This is about protection. What are you protecting? And when does the window close to protect it?
Your independence. Your cognition. Your ability to show up for the people and experiences that matter to you.
These aren't abstract concerns for 'someday.' They're being determined right now, in this decade, by choices you're making or avoiding.
I'm not asking you to overhaul your life. I'm asking you to measure what matters. To pay attention to the signals. To address dysfunction while it's still easy to address.
Ten minutes to test yourself. That's the first step.
Your future self is depending on it.
Dr. Justin Dearing is the founder of The Dearing Clinic, specializing in neuro-metabolic restoration and functional longevity. With 17 years of clinical experience, he focuses on measuring and restoring the systems that determine how we age — not just how long we live, but how well.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why do my 40s matter more than other decades?
Your 40s are when the early signs of long-term dysfunction typically begin — but they're subtle enough that most people (and most doctors) miss them. What becomes a health crisis at 60 or 65 usually started quietly in this decade. Acting now, while resilience is still strong and dysfunction is still reversible, produces dramatically better outcomes than waiting for a diagnosis.
My doctor says my labs are normal. Why don't I feel normal?
Standard lab reference ranges are designed to identify disease, not optimize function. They're built from population averages — a population that is largely sedentary and metabolically stressed. A result that falls within range doesn't mean your body is performing well; it means you haven't yet crossed the clinical threshold for a diagnosable condition. Measuring function, not just disease markers, tells a very different story.
What is the "hierarchy of decline" and why does it matter?
Decline tends to follow a sequence: breathing dysfunction → nervous system dysregulation → metabolic slowdown → structural breakdown → cognitive symptoms. Understanding this order matters because it tells you where to intervene first. Skipping ahead (e.g., pushing hard in the gym) when earlier systems are compromised often makes things worse, not better.
What are the 6 self-assessment metrics and what do they measure?
The six are: BOLT score (CO2 tolerance and breathing efficiency), dead hang time (grip strength and all-cause mortality risk), single-leg balance (neurological coordination), resting breathing rate (autonomic stress state), core coordination (structural integration), and waist-to-height ratio (metabolic disease risk). Together they give a snapshot of your functional age, not just your calendar age.
Is this relevant for women in their 40s too?
Absolutely. While the blog is written from a male perspective, the underlying physiology — the hierarchy of decline, the role of breathing, HRV, mitochondrial function, and metabolic health — applies across the board. Hormonal changes in perimenopause also make this decade particularly high-leverage for women.
How is this different from what my primary care doctor does?
Most primary care medicine is built around disease detection and management. The approach described here focuses on measuring dysfunction before it becomes disease — looking at metabolic efficiency, nervous system flexibility, brain network coordination, and structural integrity in ways that standard annual physicals simply don't capture.
Do I need to visit a clinic to get started?
No. The 6 self-assessment metrics can be done at home with no equipment (aside from a pull-up bar for the dead hang) in about 10 minutes. That's the recommended first step — know your score, identify your weakest area, and go from there.
Ready to feel like you again?
* Your next step toward feeling better starts today. At The Dearing Clinic we make it simple to get started with care that truly fits your life. Book your visit now and let’s design a plan that restores your energy, relieves your pain, and helps you enjoy more of what matters most.

